Description

This analysis provides a forecast of COTI prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-27 0.051389 0.059896 0.069237 0.080238 0.092820 0.106740 0.123287
2025-05-04 0.038195 0.049214 0.062431 0.079378 0.100448 0.125692 0.158132
2025-05-11 0.029718 0.041843 0.057557 0.079243 0.108191 0.145274 0.196108
2025-05-18 0.023132 0.035309 0.052234 0.077173 0.112616 0.160740 0.230485
2025-05-25 0.018517 0.030429 0.048068 0.075632 0.117042 0.176215 0.266219
2025-06-01 0.015529 0.027286 0.045719 0.076075 0.123974 0.195546 0.309076
2025-06-08 0.012735 0.023862 0.042283 0.074164 0.126831 0.208863 0.344118
2025-06-15 0.011511 0.022816 0.042436 0.077871 0.138753 0.236972 0.404281
2025-06-22 0.009918 0.020793 0.040577 0.077846 0.144384 0.255463 0.450738
2025-06-29 0.008337 0.018482 0.037816 0.075774 0.146124 0.267520 0.487501
2025-07-06 0.007165 0.016749 0.035833 0.074778 0.149514 0.282485 0.530260
2025-07-13 0.006709 0.016416 0.036482 0.078804 0.162445 0.315136 0.606371
2025-07-20 0.006154 0.015793 0.036508 0.081708 0.173772 0.346305 0.683283
2025-07-27 0.005246 0.014189 0.034251 0.079680 0.175290 0.359617 0.728925
2025-08-03 0.004575 0.013015 0.032733 0.078975 0.179332 0.377996 0.785567
2025-08-10 0.003895 0.011670 0.030608 0.076635 0.179684 0.389180 0.829310
2025-08-17 0.003358 0.010581 0.028899 0.074969 0.181220 0.402757 0.878749
2025-08-24 0.003006 0.009923 0.028122 0.075341 0.187205 0.425810 0.948899
2025-08-31 0.002591 0.008986 0.026486 0.073413 0.187772 0.437582 0.996864
2025-09-07 0.002470 0.008909 0.027078 0.077069 0.201593 0.478660 1.109087
2025-09-14 0.002211 0.008343 0.026264 0.077035 0.206680 0.501198 1.183633
2025-09-21 0.001913 0.007575 0.024758 0.074979 0.206632 0.512334 1.234363
2025-09-28 0.001688 0.007001 0.023708 0.073990 0.209094 0.529291 1.299133